Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
✨ AIWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination — 1% YES
Ted Cruz is currently a deep longshot for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, with the market pricing his chances at 1% – implying roughly 99-to-1 odds against. This price is heavily backed by nearly $18 million in trading volume, suggesting a confident crowd consensus that has remained essentially flat over the last 24 hours, indicating no recent shift in conviction. With roughly 29 months until resolution, there is ample time for this price to move, but for a "Yes" resolution, Cruz must not only win but also accept the Republican Party's nomination for U.S. president.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $17.8M
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $6.1K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Nov 7, 2028
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
