Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
15%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027 at 15%
On Polymarket, "Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?" is trading at 15% YES with $40,784 in volume.
💬 Ask this market
PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $40.8K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Frequently asked
What is the "Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 15%, which makes it an underdog — the crowd puts the odds around 15%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
More in Markets
View all →
Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
