Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
47%chance of Yes
+0%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027 at 47%
On Polymarket, "Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?" is trading at 47% YES with $40,898 in volume.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $40.9K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
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