Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 27, 2026?
18%chance of Yes
+18%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 27, 2026 at 18%
On Polymarket, "Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 27, 2026?" is trading at 18% YES with $21,125 in volume. It's moved +18% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $21.1K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $12.5K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jul 27, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public. Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 4.9, Claude Opus 5.0, Opus 5, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 27, 2026?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 27, 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 18%, which makes it an underdog — the crowd puts the odds around 18%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
