Will the Republican Party win the NY-12 House seat?
5%chance of Yes
+2%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will the Republican Party win the NY-12 House seat at 5%
On Polymarket, "Will the Republican Party win the NY-12 House seat?" is trading at 5% YES with $10,751 in volume. It's moved +2% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $10.8K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $6.6K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Nov 3, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Frequently asked
What is the "Will the Republican Party win the NY-12 House seat?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will the Republican Party win the NY-12 House seat?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 5%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 5% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
