Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
17%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026 at 17%
On Polymarket, "Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?" is trading at 17% YES with $264,637 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $265K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 17%, which makes it an underdog — the crowd puts the odds around 17%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
