Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
1%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026 at 1%
On Polymarket, "Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?" is trading at 1% YES with $27,245 in volume.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $27.2K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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