Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
6%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026 at 6%
On Polymarket, "Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?" is trading at 6% YES with $1.4M in volume.
💬 Ask this market
PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $1.4M
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $43
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
More in Markets
View all →
Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
