Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
3%chance of Yes
-0%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026 at 3%
On Polymarket, "Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?" is trading at 3% YES with $1.4M in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $1.4M
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 3%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 3% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
