Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
5%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026 at 5%
On Polymarket, "Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?" is trading at 5% YES with $155,483 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $155K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $360
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 5%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 5% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
