Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
5%chance of Yes
+2%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026 at 5%
On Polymarket, "Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?" is trading at 5% YES with $62,618 in volume. It's moved +2% in the last 24h.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $62.6K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $78
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
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