Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026 at 10%
On Polymarket, "Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?" is trading at 10% YES with $65,161 in volume.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
Right now YES is trading at 10%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 10% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
This market is scheduled to resolve around Dec 31, 2026. The odds tend to converge toward 0% or 100% as that date approaches and the outcome becomes clear.
Per Polymarket's rules: This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake…
About $65.2K has been traded on it (public on-chain volume). Heavier volume generally means a more confident, harder-to-move price.
No. WyldMarkets is an information and research tool. The odds show what a crowd of traders currently believes — they are not a recommendation, and nothing here is financial advice.