Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
5%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026 at 5%
On Polymarket, "Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?" is trading at 5% YES with $348,678 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $349K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 5%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 5% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
