Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
34%chance of Yes
-1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026 at 34%
On Polymarket, "Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?" is trading at 34% YES with $191,349 in volume. It's moved -1% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $191K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $82
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 34%, which makes it an underdog — the crowd puts the odds around 34%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
