Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
29%chance of Yes
+1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026 at 29%
On Polymarket, "Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?" is trading at 29% YES with $211,631 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $212K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
