Will there be exactly 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26 at 3%
On Polymarket, "Will there be exactly 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?" is trading at 3% YES with $699 in volume. It's moved -1% in the last 24h.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between July 20, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will there be exactly 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history β we don't run the market or take bets.
Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool β we don't accept bets or hold funds.
Right now YES is trading at 3%, which makes it a long shot β the crowd gives it only about a 3% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
This market is scheduled to resolve around Jul 26, 2026. The odds tend to converge toward 0% or 100% as that date approaches and the outcome becomes clear.
Per Polymarket's rules: This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between July 20, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, withβ¦
About $699 has been traded on it (public on-chain volume). Heavier volume generally means a more confident, harder-to-move price.
No. WyldMarkets is an information and research tool. The odds show what a crowd of traders currently believes β they are not a recommendation, and nothing here is financial advice.