Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
✨ AIWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination — 2% YES
The market currently prices Thomas Massie's chances of securing the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at a mere 2%, firmly establishing him as a deep longshot with implied odds of roughly 45.5-to-1 against. This price reflects a strong collective judgment, backed by over $5 million in total trading volume, indicating a high degree of conviction among participants. Despite the substantial time remaining until resolution—approximately 29 months—the price has remained essentially flat over the past 24 hours, suggesting no recent shift in this established perception. For a "Yes" resolution, Massie must not only win the nomination but also formally accept it, according to official Republican Party sources.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $5.3M
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $2.7K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Nov 7, 2028
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
