Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
84%chance of Yes
+16%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07 at 84%
On Polymarket, "Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?" is trading at 84% YES with $29,588 in volume. It's moved +16% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $29.6K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $460
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Aug 4, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 84%, which makes it a favorite — the crowd prices it around 84%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
