This trader primarily bets against geopolitical upheavals and major international conflicts, particularly concerning Iran and Ukraine. They are a highly selective, contrarian "NO" bettor, concentrating their capital on a few high-conviction positions against popular narratives.
AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.
Showing the 15 largest of 42 open positions by value.
CP-directional just placed $90 on NO
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?CP-directional just placed $100 on NO
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's bets is risky.
CP-directional just placed $400 on NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?CP-directional just placed $300 on NO
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?CP-directional just placed $300 on NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?CP-directional just placed $400 on YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?CP-directional just placed $700 on YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?CP-directional just placed $100 on NO
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?CP-directional just placed $400 on NO
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?CP-directional just placed $200 on NO
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?CP-directional just placed $500 on NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?CP-directional just placed $500 on NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?CP-directional just placed $200 on NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?CP-directional just placed $400 on NO
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?CP-directional just placed $500 on NO
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?CP-directional just placed $500 on NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?CP-directional just placed $300 on NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?CP-directional just placed $100 on NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?CP-directional just placed $300 on NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?CP-directional just placed $400 on NO
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?CP-directional just placed $200 on NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?CP-directional just placed $500 on NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?CP-directional just placed $100 on NO
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?CP-directional just placed $200 on NO
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?CP-directional just placed $980 on NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?CP-directional just placed $2.0K on NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?CP-directional just placed $290 on NO
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?CP-directional just placed $200 on NO
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?CP-directional just placed $2.4K on NO
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?CP-directional just placed $300 on NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?CP-directional just placed $400 on NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?CP-directional just placed $400 on NO
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?CP-directional just placed $400 on NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?CP-directional just placed $500 on NO
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?CP-directional just placed $800 on NO
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?CP-directional just placed $500 on NO
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?CP-directional just placed $400 on NO
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?CP-directional just placed $800 on NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?