Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
3%chance of Yes
-1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30 at 3%
On Polymarket, "Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?" is trading at 3% YES with $106,484 in volume. It's moved -1% in the last 24h.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $106K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $84
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Oct 31, 2025
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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