Orion96 is a selective, contrarian trader primarily betting against geopolitical resolutions and future movie blockbusters, favoring high-odds "NO" outcomes across a concentrated book. Their recent activity shows a strong bias towards initiating new positions rather than closing existing ones, predominantly backing favorites.
AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.
Showing the 15 largest of 50 open positions by value.
Orion96 just placed $603 on NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Orion96 just placed $500 on YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Orion96 just placed $125 on YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's bets is risky.
Orion96 just placed $500 on YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Orion96 just placed $300 on YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Orion96 just placed $370 on NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Orion96 just placed $500 on NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Orion96 just placed $440 on YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Orion96 just placed $91 on NO
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?Orion96 just placed $36 on YES
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?Orion96 just placed $500 on NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Orion96 just placed $1000 on NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Orion96 just placed $2.0K on NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Orion96 just placed $70 on NO
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Orion96 just placed $1000 on YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Orion96 just placed $3.0K on NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Orion96 just placed $500 on NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Orion96 just placed $94 on NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Orion96 just placed $300 on YES
Will SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?Orion96 just placed $2.0K on NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Orion96 just placed $2.0K on NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Orion96 just placed $6.9K on NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Orion96 just placed $886 on NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Orion96 just placed $434 on YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Orion96 just placed $500 on YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?Orion96 just placed $1000 on NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Orion96 just placed $1.5K on NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Orion96 just placed $3.3K on NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Orion96 just placed $585 on NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Orion96 just placed $20 on YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Orion96 just placed $315 on YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Orion96 just placed $201 on NO
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Orion96 just placed $600 on NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Orion96 just placed $1000 on NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Orion96 just placed $2.6K on YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Orion96 just placed $1000 on NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Orion96 just placed $830 on NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Orion96 just placed $1.5K on NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?