moonlight2020

Whimsical-Quote0x407d…1baePolymarket

Portfolio value

$38.0K

Trader style

✨ AI

Moonlight2020 primarily bets on politics and geopolitics, with a strong contrarian streak, heavily favoring "NO" outcomes on high-odds positions. They are active, making frequent buys, and concentrate their capital on a few key political and geopolitical predictions.

AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.

Open positions

16 held

Open exposure

$38.0K

value at risk now

Unrealized P/L

−$3.6K

−8.7% on cost

In profit

9 / 16

positions in the green

Markets

distinct positions open

SideMarketMarket nowPositionUnrealized

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Resolves Nov 7, 2028

Now 57%$11.4K+$1.4K (+14%)

57%$11.4K+$1.4K+14%NO

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?

Resolves Jul 24, 2026

Now 68%$10.2K−$3.5K (−26%)

68%$10.2K−$3.5K−26%YES

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Resolves Nov 7, 2028

Now 43%$8.6K−$1.4K (−14%)

43%$8.6K−$1.4K−14%NO

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?

Resolves Aug 1, 2026

Now 100%$2.0K+$28 (+1%)

100%$2.0K+$28+1%NO

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 77%$1.5K−$70 (−4%)

77%$1.5K−$70−4%NO

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Resolves Jun 30, 2027

Now 96%$1.4K+$57 (+4%)

96%$1.4K+$57+4%NO

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Now 95%$948+$45 (+5%)

95%$948+$45+5%YES

Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 99%$671+$8 (+1%)

99%$671+$8+1%YES

Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 96%$482+$3 (+1%)

96%$482+$3+1%YES

Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?

Resolves Jun 30, 2027

Now 98%$255+$38 (+18%)

98%$255+$38+18%NO

Over $7.5M committed to the TownSquare public sale?

Resolves Sep 1, 2026

Now 99%$250+$12 (+5%)

99%$250+$12+5%YES

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Now 12%$115−$15 (−12%)

12%$115−$15−12%NO

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?

Resolves Aug 1, 2026

Now 95%$95−$1 (−1%)

95%$95−$1−1%NO

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Now 99%$10+$1 (+6%)

99%$10+$1+6%YES

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Now 0%$1−$243 (−100%)

0%$1−$243−100%

Positions 1–15 of 16, largest first

1 / 2

Recent trades

WHALE MOVE

moonlight2020 just placed $1.4K on NO

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

viaPolymarket2d ago

WHALE MOVE

moonlight2020 just placed $319 on YES

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?

viaPolymarket2d ago

WHALE MOVE

moonlight2020 just placed $455 on YES

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?

Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's trades is risky.