
Nothing is so firmly believed as what we least know.
Montaigne primarily bets on US politics, specifically the 2028 presidential election, with a highly concentrated book heavily favoring "NO" outcomes. Their recent activity shows a strong inclination towards selling, suggesting active management within their selective, high-value positions.
AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.
Montaigne just placed $19 on NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Montaigne just placed $9 on NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Montaigne just placed $20 on NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Montaigne just placed $19 on NO
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Montaigne just placed $12 on NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Montaigne just placed $20 on NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?Montaigne just placed $28 on NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Montaigne just placed $17 on NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Montaigne just placed $19 on NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Montaigne just placed $35 on NO
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Montaigne just placed $33 on NO
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Montaigne just placed $40 on NO
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Montaigne just placed $10 on NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Montaigne just placed $41 on NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?Montaigne just placed $44 on NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Montaigne just placed $41 on NO
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Montaigne just placed $41 on NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Montaigne just placed $58 on NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Montaigne just placed $59 on YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Montaigne just placed $35 on YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Montaigne just placed $52 on NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Montaigne just placed $23 on YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Montaigne just placed $80 on NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?Montaigne just placed $99 on NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Montaigne just placed $94 on NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Montaigne just placed $8 on YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Montaigne just placed $102 on YES
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Montaigne just placed $150 on YES
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Montaigne just placed $156 on NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Montaigne just placed $164 on NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's trades is risky.