ColdConviction

Competent-Transaction0x70c1…1be2Polymarket

Portfolio value

$453K

Trader style

✨ AI

ColdConviction primarily bets on politics, with a strong focus on US and international political stability. This trader is highly concentrated on a few high-value "NO" positions, predominantly backing favorites against unlikely political upheavals.

AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.

Open positions

32 held

Open exposure

$453K

value at risk now

Unrealized P/L

+$8.4K

+1.9% on cost

In profit

20 / 32

positions in the green

Markets

distinct bets open

SideMarketMarket nowPositionUnrealized

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Resolves Nov 7, 2028

Now 77%$244K+$85.1K (+54%)

77%$244K+$85.1K+54%YES

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Resolves Nov 7, 2028

Now 23%$73.4K−$85.1K (−54%)

23%$73.4K−$85.1K−54%NO

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 99%$28.0K+$1.9K (+7%)

99%$28.0K+$1.9K+7%NO

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 88%$19.5K+$867 (+5%)

88%$19.5K+$867+5%NO

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 99%$15.2K+$1.3K (+9%)

99%$15.2K+$1.3K+9%NO

Trump out as President by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 99%$14.1K+$802 (+6%)

99%$14.1K+$802+6%NO

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 99%$13.8K+$812 (+6%)

99%$13.8K+$812+6%NO

Trump out as President before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 91%$7.4K+$720 (+11%)

91%$7.4K+$720+11%NO

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 98%$7.2K+$412 (+6%)

98%$7.2K+$412+6%NO

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 98%$6.8K+$748 (+12%)

98%$6.8K+$748+12%YES

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 75%$4.8K+$1.8K (+57%)

75%$4.8K+$1.8K+57%YES

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Resolves Sep 30, 2026

Now 59%$4.2K−$377 (−8%)

59%$4.2K−$377−8%NO

Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 99%$3.8K+$253 (+7%)

99%$3.8K+$253+7%NO

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 85%$2.9K+$365 (+14%)

85%$2.9K+$365+14%NO

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 99%$2.2K+$159 (+8%)

99%$2.2K+$159+8%

Positions 1–15 of 32, largest first

1 / 3

Recent trades

WHALE MOVE

ColdConviction just placed $15 on NO

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

viaPolymarket2d ago

WHALE MOVE

ColdConviction just placed $1.3K on NO

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

viaPolymarket10d ago

WHALE MOVE

ColdConviction just placed $134 on NO

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

via

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