TronOG

Calm-Dusk0x77c3…00c8Polymarket

Portfolio value

$134K

Trader style

✨ AI

TronOG primarily bets on geopolitics, particularly focusing on Iran and US political stability, overwhelmingly taking "NO" positions on high-odds outcomes. This trader is highly concentrated, with nearly half their capital in a single position, and actively buys into their favored outcomes.

AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.

Open positions

20 held

Open exposure

$134K

value at risk now

Unrealized P/L

+$2.7K

+2.0% on cost

In profit

14 / 20

positions in the green

Markets

distinct bets open

SideMarketMarket nowPositionUnrealized

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 99%$65.7K+$955 (+1%)

99%$65.7K+$955+1%NO

Trump out as President before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 90%$18.9K+$1.1K (+6%)

90%$18.9K+$1.1K+6%NO

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 97%$14.3K+$341 (+2%)

97%$14.3K+$341+2%NO

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 99%$10.2K+$444 (+5%)

99%$10.2K+$444+5%NO

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 92%$7.7K+$197 (+3%)

92%$7.7K+$197+3%NO

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 89%$5.3K+$80 (+2%)

89%$5.3K+$80+2%NO

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 99%$4.1K+$355 (+10%)

99%$4.1K+$355+10%NO

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 99%$2.1K+$40 (+2%)

99%$2.1K+$40+2%NO

Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 97%$2.0K+$35 (+2%)

97%$2.0K+$35+2%YES

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

Resolves Aug 2, 2026

Now 99%$1.2K+$48 (+4%)

99%$1.2K+$48+4%NO

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Resolves Apr 30, 2026

Now 96%$1.0K+$80 (+9%)

96%$1.0K+$80+9%NO

Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 95%$786−$20 (−2%)

95%$786−$20−2%YES

Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Now 100%$299+$38 (+14%)

100%$299+$38+14%YES

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Resolves Nov 7, 2028

Now 15%$268+$86 (+47%)

15%$268+$86+47%NO

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 23%$233−$422 (−64%)

23%$233−$422−64%

Positions 1–15 of 20, largest first

1 / 2

Recent trades

WHALE MOVE

TronOG just placed $1.6K on NO

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

viaPolymarket4d ago

WHALE MOVE

TronOG just placed $1.6K on NO

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?

viaPolymarket4d ago

WHALE MOVE

TronOG just placed $2.7K on NO

Trump out as President by June 30?

viaPolymarket

Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's bets is risky.