Iran Nuke before 2027?
9%chance of Yes
-1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
✨ AIIran Nuke before 2027 — 9% YES
The market currently prices "Iran Nuke before 2027?" at 9%, indicating the crowd views this as a deep longshot with implied odds of roughly 10-to-1 against. The recent 1-point dip is likely noise rather than a significant shift in conviction, especially given the solid participation with over $800,000 traded to date, suggesting a reasonably confident price. With the market resolving by December 31, 2026, and requiring official confirmation from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government, or credible global news sources for a "Yes" payout, there's still ample time for the price to fluctuate.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $806K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $99.0K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
