This trader is heavily concentrated on geopolitical events in Iran, consistently betting against significant changes or closures, while also taking a smaller, contrarian "YES" stance on future US political control. Their strategy is selective, favoring high-odds "NO" outcomes on a few key topics, despite being mostly underwater.
AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.
misko1 just placed $450 on NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?misko1 just placed $835 on YES
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?misko1 just placed $3.8K on YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?misko1 just placed $31 on YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?misko1 just placed $78 on NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?misko1 just placed $16 on YES
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?misko1 just placed $84 on NO
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?misko1 just placed $73 on NO
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?misko1 just placed $1.7K on NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?misko1 just placed $337 on YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?misko1 just placed $420 on YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?misko1 just placed $420 on YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?misko1 just placed $100 on YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?misko1 just placed $810 on NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?misko1 just placed $1.6K on NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?misko1 just placed $996 on NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?misko1 just placed $15 on NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?misko1 just placed $10 on YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?misko1 just placed $795 on NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?misko1 just placed $2.4K on NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?misko1 just placed $3.0K on NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?misko1 just placed $34 on NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?misko1 just placed $130 on NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?misko1 just placed $1.1K on NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's trades is risky.