Manzana698 is a selective, contrarian trader focused on geopolitical outcomes, primarily betting against major peace deals and military actions with high-odds "NO" positions. Their book is concentrated in these themes, with a significant portion allocated to a single bet against an Israeli ground offensive.
AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.
Manzana698 just placed $1.3K on NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Manzana698 just placed $2.3K on NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's bets is risky.
Manzana698 just placed $1.6K on NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Manzana698 just placed $1.6K on NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Manzana698 just placed $2.0K on NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?Manzana698 just placed $2.0K on NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?Manzana698 just placed $2.2K on NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Manzana698 just placed $1.9K on NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?Manzana698 just placed $2.0K on NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Manzana698 just placed $1.8K on NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Manzana698 just placed $1.5K on NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Manzana698 just placed $2.0K on NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Manzana698 just placed $1.7K on NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Manzana698 just placed $1.1K on NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Manzana698 just placed $1.1K on NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Manzana698 just placed $1.5K on NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Manzana698 just placed $2.9K on NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Manzana698 just placed $1.5K on NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Manzana698 just placed $1.3K on NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Manzana698 just placed $826 on NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Manzana698 just placed $422 on NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Manzana698 just placed $103 on NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Manzana698 just placed $3.2K on NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Manzana698 just placed $96 on NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Manzana698 just placed $2.6K on NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Manzana698 just placed $1.4K on NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Manzana698 just placed $530 on NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Manzana698 just placed $38 on NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Manzana698 just placed $38 on NO
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?