
No hedge full bond
Adonpoli primarily bets against geopolitical instability and unlikely political events, heavily favoring "NO" outcomes on high-odds markets. Their strategy is concentrated, with a significant portion of their book on a single position, yet they remain active with frequent buys.
AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.
adonpoli just placed $1.6K on YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?adonpoli just placed $1.1K on YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's bets is risky.
adonpoli just placed $1.9K on YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?adonpoli just placed $4.8K on YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?adonpoli just placed $941 on NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?adonpoli just placed $248 on NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?adonpoli just placed $3.9K on NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?adonpoli just placed $347 on NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?adonpoli just placed $76 on NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?adonpoli just placed $642 on NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?adonpoli just placed $480 on YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?adonpoli just placed $2.4K on YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?adonpoli just placed $1.5K on NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?adonpoli just placed $1.3K on NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?adonpoli just placed $1.2K on NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?adonpoli just placed $2.5K on NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?adonpoli just placed $15 on NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?adonpoli just placed $4.7K on NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?adonpoli just placed $98 on NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?adonpoli just placed $56 on YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?adonpoli just placed $98 on NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?adonpoli just placed $2.6K on NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?adonpoli just placed $15 on NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?adonpoli just placed $754 on NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?adonpoli just placed $4 on YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?adonpoli just placed $2.2K on NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?adonpoli just placed $3.0K on NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?adonpoli just placed $9.8K on NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?adonpoli just placed $2.7K on YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?adonpoli just placed $13 on YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?adonpoli just placed $3.4K on NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?adonpoli just placed $47 on YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?adonpoli just placed $942 on YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?adonpoli just placed $205 on NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?adonpoli just placed $1.1K on YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?adonpoli just placed $207 on NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?