Oliver1978 primarily bets against unlikely catastrophic events and sensational headlines across geopolitics, public health, and natural disasters, consistently backing favorites with a concentrated, selective approach. This trader exhibits a strong contrarian streak, exclusively betting "NO" on a wide range of improbable outcomes.
AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.
Showing the 15 largest of 35 open positions by value.
Oliver1978 just placed $23 on NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's bets is risky.
Oliver1978 just placed $3 on YES
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Oliver1978 just placed $4 on YES
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Oliver1978 just placed $3 on NO
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Oliver1978 just placed $705 on YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Oliver1978 just placed $57 on YES
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?Oliver1978 just placed $21 on NO
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?Oliver1978 just placed $165 on YES
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?Oliver1978 just placed $96 on NO
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?Oliver1978 just placed $32 on NO
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?Oliver1978 just placed $394 on NO
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?Oliver1978 just placed $402 on NO
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?Oliver1978 just placed $67 on NO
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?Oliver1978 just placed $79 on YES
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Oliver1978 just placed $375 on NO
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?Oliver1978 just placed $140 on NO
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?Oliver1978 just placed $409 on NO
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?Oliver1978 just placed $3 on YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 7?Oliver1978 just placed $100 on NO
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?Oliver1978 just placed $1 on YES
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Oliver1978 just placed $68 on NO
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?Oliver1978 just placed $120 on NO
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?Oliver1978 just placed $71 on NO
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?Oliver1978 just placed $159 on YES
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Oliver1978 just placed $5 on YES
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?Oliver1978 just placed $2 on YES
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?Oliver1978 just placed $5 on YES
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?Oliver1978 just placed $8 on YES
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?Oliver1978 just placed $8 on YES
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?Oliver1978 just placed $5 on YES
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?