lava-lava

Dead-Lava0x629b…995aPolymarket

Portfolio value

$600K

Trader style

✨ AI

This trader is a highly concentrated political bettor, heavily backing favorites and displaying a strong contrarian streak by predominantly betting against unlikely outcomes. They are an active buyer, selectively building their book with large positions on specific political events.

AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.

Open positions

58 held

Open exposure

$600K

value at risk now

Unrealized P/L

+$51.9K

+9.5% on cost

In profit

39 / 58

positions in the green

Markets

distinct bets open

SideMarketMarket nowPositionUnrealized

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Resolves Jun 7, 2026

Now 99%$322K+$41.2K (+15%)

99%$322K+$41.2K+15%YES

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Resolves Jun 7, 2026

Now 98%$140K+$7.1K (+5%)

98%$140K+$7.1K+5%YES

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Resolves Jan 1, 1970

Now 93%$19.6K+$5.0K (+34%)

93%$19.6K+$5.0K+34%YES

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Resolves Oct 4, 2026

Now 48%$14.4K+$1.6K (+12%)

48%$14.4K+$1.6K+12%NO

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Resolves Jun 7, 2026

Now 99%$14.1K+$3.6K (+34%)

99%$14.1K+$3.6K+34%NO

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 79%$11.7K−$25 (−0%)

79%$11.7K−$25−0%NO

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Now 99%$8.2K+$1.3K (+19%)

99%$8.2K+$1.3K+19%NO

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 96%$7.7K+$477 (+7%)

96%$7.7K+$477+7%NO

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 81%$5.7K+$330 (+6%)

81%$5.7K+$330+6%NO

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 94%$5.6K+$379 (+7%)

94%$5.6K+$379+7%NO

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 92%$4.7K+$383 (+9%)

92%$4.7K+$383+9%NO

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 59%$4.1K−$151 (−4%)

59%$4.1K−$151−4%NO

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 93%$4.1K+$178 (+5%)

93%$4.1K+$178+5%NO

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 94%$3.5K+$132 (+4%)

94%$3.5K+$132+4%NO

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?

Resolves Jan 1, 1970

Now 98%$3.4K+$334 (+11%)

98%$3.4K+$334+11%

Positions 1–15 of 58, largest first

1 / 4

Recent trades

WHALE MOVE

lava-lava just placed $140 on YES

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

viaPolymarket2d ago

WHALE MOVE

lava-lava just placed $844 on YES

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

viaPolymarket3d ago

WHALE MOVE

lava-lava just placed $578 on YES

Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's bets is risky.