Serene-Decision

0x8b4b…541bPolymarket

Portfolio value

$4.1M

Trader style

✨ AI

Serene-Decision primarily bets on geopolitical and economic stability, consistently taking "NO" positions against disruptive events. This trader is highly selective, concentrating large sums on a few high-conviction, low-odds outcomes, demonstrating a contrarian streak by betting against popular narratives.

AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.

Open positions

85 held

Open exposure

$4.1M

value at risk now

Unrealized P/L

+$99.9K

+2.5% on cost

In profit

72 / 85

positions in the green

Markets

distinct positions open

SideMarketMarket nowPositionUnrealized

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Resolves Jul 29, 2026

Now 99%$656K−$611 (−0%)

99%$656K−$611−0%NO

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 71%$289K−$36.9K (−11%)

71%$289K−$36.9K−11%NO

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 92%$272K+$11.9K (+5%)

92%$272K+$11.9K+5%NO

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 90%$225K+$353 (+0%)

90%$225K+$353+0%NO

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 95%$180K+$24.5K (+16%)

95%$180K+$24.5K+16%NO

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Resolves Jul 29, 2026

Now 100%$173K+$233 (+0%)

100%$173K+$233+0%NO

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Now 99%$152K+$1.4K (+1%)

99%$152K+$1.4K+1%NO

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 96%$141K+$8.9K (+7%)

96%$141K+$8.9K+7%NO

Trump out as President before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 93%$131K+$10.1K (+8%)

93%$131K+$10.1K+8%NO

Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?

Resolves Aug 1, 2026

Now 100%$130K+$1.2K (+1%)

100%$130K+$1.2K+1%NO

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Now 94%$123K+$15.1K (+14%)

94%$123K+$15.1K+14%NO

Trump out as President by July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Now 100%$112K+$385 (+0%)

100%$112K+$385+0%NO

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 96%$107K+$1.9K (+2%)

96%$107K+$1.9K+2%YES

Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?

Resolves Aug 9, 2026

Now 95%$106K+$9.9K (+10%)

95%$106K+$9.9K+10%NO

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?

Resolves Aug 1, 2026

Now 96%$95.8K+$2.6K (+3%)

96%$95.8K+$2.6K+3%

Positions 1–15 of 85, largest first

1 / 6

Recent trades

WHALE MOVE

Serene-Decision just placed $420 on NO

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?

viaPolymarket3h ago

WHALE MOVE

Serene-Decision just placed $2.4K on NO

Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?

viaPolymarket13h ago

WHALE MOVE

Serene-Decision just placed $17.7K on NO

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?

viaPolymarket

Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's trades is risky.