ToadToad

Fluid-Cappuccino0xf2fa…4a62Polymarket

Portfolio value

$6.1K

Trader style

✨ AI

ToadToad primarily bets on economics and geopolitics, with a strong focus on high-valuation tech companies and commodity prices. This trader is highly concentrated, often taking contrarian "NO" positions on longshot outcomes, while also selectively engaging in smaller, diversified bets.

AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.

Open positions

13 held

Open exposure

$6.1K

value at risk now

Unrealized P/L

+$5

+0.1% on cost

In profit

6 / 13

positions in the green

Markets

distinct bets open

SideMarketMarket nowPositionUnrealized

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Now 68%$1.8K−$38 (−2%)

68%$1.8K−$38−2%NO

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 97%$1.5K+$559 (+58%)

97%$1.5K+$559+58%NO

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 48%$1.2K−$363 (−23%)

48%$1.2K−$363−23%NO

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Resolves Jul 1, 2026

Now 93%$925+$25 (+3%)

93%$925+$25+3%YES

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 20%$500+$5 (+1%)

20%$500+$5+1%NO

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Now 26%$145−$104 (−42%)

26%$145−$104−42%YES

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Resolves Jun 16, 2026

Now 1%$8−$83 (−92%)

1%$8−$83−92%YES

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 5%$5+$3 (+143%)

5%$5+$3+143%NO

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 98%$5+$2 (+103%)

98%$5+$2+103%YES

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Resolves Jun 15, 2026

Now 15%$2−$0 (−7%)

15%$2−$0−7%NO

Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 100%$1−$0 (−0%)

100%$1−$0−0%YES

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Resolves Jun 15, 2026

Now 3%$1−$3 (−86%)

3%$1−$3−86%YES

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

Resolves Jan 1, 1970

Now 12%$0+$0 (+33%)

12%$0+$0+33%

Recent trades

WHALE MOVE

ToadToad just placed $5 on YES

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

viaPolymarket17h ago

WHALE MOVE

ToadToad just placed $16 on NO

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

viaPolymarket17h ago

WHALE MOVE

ToadToad just placed $43 on NO

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's bets is risky.