ToadToad primarily bets on economics and geopolitics, with a strong focus on high-valuation tech companies and commodity prices. This trader is highly concentrated, often taking contrarian "NO" positions on longshot outcomes, while also selectively engaging in smaller, diversified bets.
AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.
ToadToad just placed $5 on YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?ToadToad just placed $16 on NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's bets is risky.
ToadToad just placed $900 on NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?ToadToad just placed $1.0K on NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?ToadToad just placed $1 on YES
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?ToadToad just placed $18 on NO
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?ToadToad just placed $345 on YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?ToadToad just placed $1.0K on NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?ToadToad just placed $2 on YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?ToadToad just placed $5 on YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?ToadToad just placed $18 on NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?ToadToad just placed $1 on YES
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?ToadToad just placed $19 on NO
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?ToadToad just placed $12 on YES
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?ToadToad just placed $1 on NO
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?ToadToad just placed $1 on NO
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?ToadToad just placed $1 on NO
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?ToadToad just placed $1 on NO
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?ToadToad just placed $13 on YES
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?ToadToad just placed $15 on YES
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?ToadToad just placed $17 on YES
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?ToadToad just placed $18 on YES
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?ToadToad just placed $2 on NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?ToadToad just placed $20 on YES
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?ToadToad just placed $11 on YES
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?ToadToad just placed $24 on YES
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?ToadToad just placed $16 on NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?ToadToad just placed $8 on YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?