BlackswanDefi

Productive-Camera0x28c3…da06Polymarket

Portfolio value

$33.1K

Trader style

✨ AI

BlackswanDefi primarily bets on politics and crypto, with a concentrated book heavily favoring "NO" outcomes, often against long odds. This trader is selective, making more sells than buys recently, and generally backs favorites while maintaining a contrarian streak.

AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.

Open positions

32 held

Open exposure

$33.1K

value at risk now

Unrealized P/L

+$256

+0.8% on cost

In profit

14 / 32

positions in the green

Markets

distinct bets open

SideMarketMarket nowPositionUnrealized

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 93%$9.3K−$55 (−1%)

93%$9.3K−$55−1%NO

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Now 93%$4.6K−$7 (−0%)

93%$4.6K−$7−0%YES

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 87%$4.3K+$325 (+8%)

87%$4.3K+$325+8%NO

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 94%$4.0K−$22 (−1%)

94%$4.0K−$22−1%NO

Is Earth flat?

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Now 97%$3.4K−$23 (−1%)

97%$3.4K−$23−1%YES

Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Resolves Jan 1, 2028

Now 53%$1.1K+$380 (+56%)

53%$1.1K+$380+56%NO

Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Resolves Jan 1, 2028

Now 45%$923+$33 (+4%)

45%$923+$33+4%NO

Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?

Resolves Jan 1, 1970

Now 60%$861+$570 (+196%)

60%$861+$570+196%NO

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Jan 1, 1970

Now 67%$722+$32 (+5%)

67%$722+$32+5%NO

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Resolves Jan 1, 2028

Now 33%$495−$330 (−40%)

33%$495−$330−40%YES

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Resolves Nov 7, 2028

Now 1%$425−$75 (−15%)

1%$425−$75−15%YES

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Resolves Nov 7, 2028

Now 1%$375−$25 (−6%)

1%$375−$25−6%NO

Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Resolves Jan 1, 2028

Now 93%$373−$2 (−1%)

93%$373−$2−1%NO

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 23%$324−$129 (−29%)

23%$324−$129−29%YES

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Resolves Nov 7, 2028

Now 1%$279−$21 (−7%)

1%$279−$21−7%

Positions 1–15 of 32, largest first

1 / 3

Recent trades

WHALE MOVE

BlackswanDefi just placed $120 on NO

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

viaPolymarket2d ago

WHALE MOVE

BlackswanDefi just placed $90 on Something

Nothing Ever Happens: June

viaPolymarket2d ago

WHALE MOVE

BlackswanDefi just placed $5.9K on YES

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

viaPolymarket

Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's bets is risky.