2177
Inventive primarily bets against major geopolitical shifts and improbable future events, heavily favoring "NO" outcomes across a concentrated portfolio. This trader is a contrarian, actively buying into low-probability scenarios and longshots.
AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.
Showing the 15 largest of 29 open positions by value.
inventive just placed $231 on NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's bets is risky.
inventive just placed $23 on NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?inventive just placed $160 on YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?inventive just placed $10 on YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?inventive just placed $41 on YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?inventive just placed $2.6K on NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?inventive just placed $1.5K on YES
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?inventive just placed $207 on YES
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?inventive just placed $618 on YES
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?inventive just placed $147 on YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?inventive just placed $274 on NO
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?inventive just placed $1.6K on NO
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?inventive just placed $28 on NO
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?inventive just placed $3.9K on NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?inventive just placed $2.1K on NO
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?inventive just placed $800 on NO
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?inventive just placed $2.5K on NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?inventive just placed $481 on YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?inventive just placed $607 on NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?inventive just placed $641 on NO
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?inventive just placed $72 on NO
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electioninventive just placed $1.7K on NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?inventive just placed $982 on NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?inventive just placed $2.8K on NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?inventive just placed $156 on NO
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?inventive just placed $150 on NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?inventive just placed $1.7K on NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?inventive just placed $142 on YES
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?inventive just placed $358 on YES
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?inventive just placed $17 on YES
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?inventive just placed $4 on YES
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?inventive just placed $498 on NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?inventive just placed $349 on NO
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?inventive just placed $1.1K on NO
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?inventive just placed $119 on NO
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?inventive just placed $30 on YES
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?inventive just placed $33 on NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?