Vague-Membrane is a highly selective, contrarian trader focused exclusively on AI/tech markets, betting "NO" on a few high-conviction, high-value positions. They primarily back favorites, with a strong preference for "NO" outcomes across their concentrated book.
AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.
Vague-Membrane just placed $340 on NO
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 29, 2026?Vague-Membrane just placed $292 on NO
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Vague-Membrane just placed $341 on NO
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Vague-Membrane just placed $134 on NO
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Vague-Membrane just placed $2.0K on NO
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Vague-Membrane just placed $530 on NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Vague-Membrane just placed $447 on YES
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?Vague-Membrane just placed $182 on NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Vague-Membrane just placed $100 on NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?Vague-Membrane just placed $1 on NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?Vague-Membrane just placed $140 on NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?Vague-Membrane just placed $104 on YES
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Vague-Membrane just placed $277 on YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Vague-Membrane just placed $150 on YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Vague-Membrane just placed $82 on YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Vague-Membrane just placed $61 on YES
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Vague-Membrane just placed $50 on YES
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Vague-Membrane just placed $300 on YES
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Vague-Membrane just placed $1 on NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Vague-Membrane just placed $1 on NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Vague-Membrane just placed $1 on NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vague-Membrane just placed $1 on NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Vague-Membrane just placed $1 on NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Vague-Membrane just placed $1 on NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Vague-Membrane just placed $1 on NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Vague-Membrane just placed $1 on NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Vague-Membrane just placed $1 on NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Vague-Membrane just placed $1 on NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?Vague-Membrane just placed $1 on NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Vague-Membrane just placed $1 on NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Vague-Membrane just placed $1 on NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Vague-Membrane just placed $1 on NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Vague-Membrane just placed $1 on NO
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vague-Membrane just placed $1 on NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Vague-Membrane just placed $1 on NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Vague-Membrane just placed $1 on NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Vague-Membrane just placed $1 on NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Vague-Membrane just placed $1 on NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Vague-Membrane just placed $1 on NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's bets is risky.