Thukydides

Descriptive-Embossing0x6640…2202Polymarket

Portfolio value

$163K

Trader style

✨ AI

Thukydides primarily bets on politics, with a strong focus on US and international elections, exhibiting a highly concentrated style with a massive bet on JD Vance not winning in 2028. They generally back favorites and are selective, despite a recent flurry of buys.

AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.

Open positions

20 held

Open exposure

$163K

value at risk now

Unrealized P/L

−$4.6K

−2.8% on cost

In profit

10 / 20

positions in the green

Markets

distinct bets open

SideMarketMarket nowPositionUnrealized

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Resolves Nov 7, 2028

Now 80%$96.5K+$36.5K (+61%)

80%$96.5K+$36.5K+61%YES

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Resolves Nov 7, 2028

Now 20%$23.5K−$36.5K (−61%)

20%$23.5K−$36.5K−61%NO

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 84%$11.1K+$2.2K (+25%)

84%$11.1K+$2.2K+25%YES

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Resolves Jun 7, 2026

Now 100%$10.7K+$1.9K (+22%)

100%$10.7K+$1.9K+22%YES

Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Resolves Jul 30, 2026

Now 90%$7.7K+$472 (+7%)

90%$7.7K+$472+7%NO

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 100%$5.6K+$934 (+20%)

100%$5.6K+$934+20%YES

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Now 43%$2.6K−$49 (−2%)

43%$2.6K−$49−2%YES

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 20%$1.5K−$2.8K (−65%)

20%$1.5K−$2.8K−65%YES

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Resolves Sep 6, 2026

Now 42%$1.2K+$57 (+5%)

42%$1.2K+$57+5%YES

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 81%$1.0K+$94 (+10%)

81%$1.0K+$94+10%YES

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Resolves Oct 4, 2026

Now 23%$934−$594 (−39%)

23%$934−$594−39%YES

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Resolves Jun 2, 2026

Now 60%$60+$8 (+15%)

60%$60+$8+15%YES

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Resolves Jan 1, 1970

Now 51%$56+$0 (+0%)

51%$56+$0+0%YES

Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?

Resolves May 19, 2026

Now 99%$54+$46 (+562%)

99%$54+$46+562%NO

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Resolves Jan 1, 1970

Now 50%$20−$0 (−2%)

50%$20−$0−2%

Positions 1–15 of 20, largest first

1 / 2

Recent trades

WHALE MOVE

Thukydides just placed $113 on NO

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

viaPolymarket4d ago

WHALE MOVE

Thukydides just placed $1.3K on YES

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

viaPolymarket5d ago

WHALE MOVE

Thukydides just placed $220 on YES

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's bets is risky.