Elias.Thornwell primarily bets on geopolitics and economics, consistently taking "NO" positions against high-impact, low-probability events. This trader is highly selective, concentrating large bets on perceived longshots and maintaining a contrarian stance with a strong bias towards the status quo.
AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.
Showing the 15 largest of 50 open positions by value.
Elias.Thornwell just placed $2 on NO
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Elias.Thornwell just placed $6 on NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Elias.Thornwell just placed $127 on NO
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's bets is risky.
Elias.Thornwell just placed $37 on YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Elias.Thornwell just placed $5 on YES
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?Elias.Thornwell just placed $5 on NO
Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Elias.Thornwell just placed $5 on NO
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Elias.Thornwell just placed $1 on YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Elias.Thornwell just placed $6 on NO
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Elias.Thornwell just placed $5 on NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Elias.Thornwell just placed $3 on YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Elias.Thornwell just placed $5 on NO
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Elias.Thornwell just placed $6 on NO
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 10–15%?Elias.Thornwell just placed $8 on NO
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Elias.Thornwell just placed $143 on NO
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Elias.Thornwell just placed $8 on NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Elias.Thornwell just placed $11 on NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Elias.Thornwell just placed $23 on NO
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Elias.Thornwell just placed $7 on NO
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Elias.Thornwell just placed $739 on NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Elias.Thornwell just placed $12 on NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Elias.Thornwell just placed $25 on NO
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Elias.Thornwell just placed $2 on NO
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Elias.Thornwell just placed $128 on YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Elias.Thornwell just placed $14 on NO
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in July 2026?Elias.Thornwell just placed $15 on NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Elias.Thornwell just placed $15 on YES
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?Elias.Thornwell just placed $1 on YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Elias.Thornwell just placed $3 on YES
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?Elias.Thornwell just placed $1 on YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Elias.Thornwell just placed $2 on NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?Elias.Thornwell just placed $91 on NO
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in July 2026?Elias.Thornwell just placed $3 on YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Elias.Thornwell just placed $9 on NO
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Elias.Thornwell just placed $10 on NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?Elias.Thornwell just placed $129 on NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Elias.Thornwell just placed $18 on NO
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Elias.Thornwell just placed $20 on NO
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Elias.Thornwell just placed $9 on NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House