
Tenebrus7 primarily bets on geopolitical and political longshots *not* happening, demonstrating a concentrated, contrarian style with a strong preference for "NO" positions on high-impact events. Their recent activity shows a tendency to sell more than buy, suggesting active management of their mostly profitable book.
AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.
Showing the 15 largest of 50 open positions by value.
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Tenebrus7 just placed $1.4K on NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Tenebrus7 just placed $137 on NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Tenebrus7 just placed $282 on NO
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Tenebrus7 just placed $491 on NO
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?Tenebrus7 just placed $940 on NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Tenebrus7 just placed $1.8K on NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Tenebrus7 just placed $1.8K on NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Tenebrus7 just placed $1.6K on NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Tenebrus7 just placed $865 on NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?Tenebrus7 just placed $5.7K on NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Tenebrus7 just placed $144 on NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Tenebrus7 just placed $546 on YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Tenebrus7 just placed $83 on YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Tenebrus7 just placed $1.6K on NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Tenebrus7 just placed $834 on NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Tenebrus7 just placed $2.8K on NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Tenebrus7 just placed $2.6K on NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Tenebrus7 just placed $777 on YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Tenebrus7 just placed $127 on YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Tenebrus7 just placed $423 on NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Tenebrus7 just placed $1.0K on YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Tenebrus7 just placed $600 on YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?