eightpenguins

Complete-Referendum0x3c59…1766Polymarket

Portfolio value

$77.8K

Trader style

✨ AI

eightpenguins is a highly concentrated, active trader primarily focused on geopolitics, particularly US-Iran relations, betting on a de-escalation of tensions. They selectively back both favorites and longshots, with a notable contrarian streak on certain political outcomes.

AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.

Open positions

20 held

Open exposure

$77.8K

value at risk now

Unrealized P/L

+$8.4K

+12.1% on cost

In profit

11 / 20

positions in the green

Markets

distinct bets open

SideMarketMarket nowPositionUnrealized

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 88%$27.6K+$5.9K (+27%)

88%$27.6K+$5.9K+27%YES

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 32%$20.0K−$2.2K (−10%)

32%$20.0K−$2.2K−10%YES

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Resolves Jun 16, 2026

Now 100%$6.8K+$6.4K (+1697%)

100%$6.8K+$6.4K+1697%YES

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 12%$4.7K−$836 (−15%)

12%$4.7K−$836−15%NO

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 81%$3.0K+$380 (+15%)

81%$3.0K+$380+15%YES

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 51%$2.5K+$766 (+44%)

51%$2.5K+$766+44%YES

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 69%$2.3K+$1.5K (+178%)

69%$2.3K+$1.5K+178%YES

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Resolves Jul 15, 2026

Now 39%$2.2K+$28 (+1%)

39%$2.2K+$28+1%YES

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 27%$2.0K−$1.5K (−44%)

27%$2.0K−$1.5K−44%NO

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 80%$1.3K+$372 (+39%)

80%$1.3K+$372+39%YES

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 31%$1.1K+$165 (+17%)

31%$1.1K+$165+17%YES

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 22%$955−$67 (−7%)

22%$955−$67−7%YES

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 57%$881+$53 (+6%)

57%$881+$53+6%YES

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 5%$841−$2.6K (−75%)

5%$841−$2.6K−75%YES

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Resolves Jun 2, 2026

Now 40%$628+$428 (+214%)

40%$628+$428+214%

Positions 1–15 of 20, largest first

1 / 2

Recent trades

WHALE MOVE

eightpenguins just placed $2.0K on YES

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

viaPolymarket2h ago

WHALE MOVE

eightpenguins just placed $2.1K on YES

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

viaPolymarket2h ago

WHALE MOVE

eightpenguins just placed $153 on YES

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's bets is risky.