leCommissaire

High-Alarm0x9238…b73ePolymarket

Portfolio value

$17.6K

Trader style

✨ AI

leCommissaire predominantly bets on geopolitics, specifically the Russia-Ukraine conflict, with a secondary interest in economics and European politics. This trader is selective, concentrating capital on a few high-conviction "NO" bets against Russian advances and broader geopolitical shifts, while still actively trading.

AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.

Open positions

130 held

Open exposure

$17.5K

value at risk now

Unrealized P/L

+$1.2K

+7.2% on cost

In profit

63 / 130

positions in the green

Markets

130

distinct bets open

SideMarketMarket nowPositionUnrealized

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 98%$3.3K+$998 (+44%)

98%$3.3K+$998+44%NO

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 97%$2.8K+$77 (+3%)

97%$2.8K+$77+3%NO

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 81%$1.1K+$48 (+5%)

81%$1.1K+$48+5%NO

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 89%$476+$9 (+2%)

89%$476+$9+2%NO

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 85%$431+$135 (+46%)

85%$431+$135+46%NO

Will Russia capture Havrylivka by June 30, 2026?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 98%$424+$28 (+7%)

98%$424+$28+7%NO

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?

Resolves Sep 30, 2026

Now 89%$382+$5 (+1%)

89%$382+$5+1%NO

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 67%$372+$0 (+0%)

67%$372+$0+0%YES

Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Now 68%$333+$25 (+8%)

68%$333+$25+8%YES

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 82%$312+$21 (+7%)

82%$312+$21+7%YES

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 33%$297−$122 (−29%)

33%$297−$122−29%NO

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 94%$281+$58 (+26%)

94%$281+$58+26%NO

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 80%$280+$11 (+4%)

80%$280+$11+4%NO

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 88%$263+$17 (+7%)

88%$263+$17+7%YES

Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 17%$250−$193 (−44%)

17%$250−$193−44%

Positions 1–15 of 130, largest first

1 / 9

Recent trades

WHALE MOVE

leCommissaire just placed $4 on NO

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

viaPolymarket24 min ago

WHALE MOVE

leCommissaire just placed $7 on G2

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

viaPolymarket41 min ago

WHALE MOVE

leCommissaire just placed $14 on NO

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?

via

Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's bets is risky.