xenonliu

Limp-Tablecloth0x94bd…6184Polymarket

Portfolio value

$74.5K

Trader style

✨ AI

Xenonliu is a highly concentrated trader primarily betting on geopolitical stability, particularly concerning China and Taiwan, with a strong contrarian streak, favoring "NO" outcomes on high-impact events. Their recent activity suggests a selective approach, actively managing their existing positions rather than frequently opening new ones.

AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.

Open positions

17 held

Open exposure

$74.5K

value at risk now

Unrealized P/L

+$1.4K

+2.0% on cost

In profit

12 / 17

positions in the green

Markets

distinct positions open

SideMarketMarket nowPositionUnrealized

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Resolves Jun 30, 2027

Now 91%$32.1K+$554 (+2%)

91%$32.1K+$554+2%NO

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 96%$23.6K+$566 (+2%)

96%$23.6K+$566+2%NO

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Resolves Sep 30, 2026

Now 98%$6.9K+$154 (+2%)

98%$6.9K+$154+2%NO

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Resolves Nov 7, 2028

Now 80%$6.4K+$2.4K (+60%)

80%$6.4K+$2.4K+60%YES

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Resolves Nov 7, 2028

Now 20%$1.6K−$2.4K (−60%)

20%$1.6K−$2.4K−60%NO

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2027

Now 89%$1.2K+$74 (+6%)

89%$1.2K+$74+6%NO

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

Resolves Sep 30, 2026

Now 97%$989+$2 (+0%)

97%$989+$2+0%YES

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Resolves Jan 31, 2026

Now 86%$855+$76 (+10%)

86%$855+$76+10%NO

GTA VI released before November 2026?

Resolves Oct 31, 2026

Now 97%$483+$28 (+6%)

97%$483+$28+6%NO

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 87%$87+$12 (+15%)

87%$87+$12+15%NO

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 75%$75−$8 (−9%)

75%$75−$8−9%YES

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?

Resolves Dec 31, 2027

Now 55%$49−$12 (−20%)

55%$49−$12−20%YES

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Resolves Jul 29, 2026

Now 75%$38+$1 (+2%)

75%$38+$1+2%NO

Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 3.2% and 4.0%?

Resolves Aug 17, 2026

Now 98%$33+$4 (+15%)

98%$33+$4+15%YES

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 30%$9−$4 (−29%)

30%$9−$4−29%

Positions 1–15 of 17, largest first

1 / 2

Recent trades

WHALE MOVE

xenonliu just placed $983 on NO

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

viaPolymarket2d ago

WHALE MOVE

xenonliu just placed $2.0K on NO

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

viaPolymarket2d ago

WHALE MOVE

xenonliu just placed $433 on YES

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's trades is risky.