Threadbare-Signal is a highly concentrated political speculator, predominantly betting on geopolitical conflicts and invasions, particularly regarding China and Taiwan. They actively chase longshots, favoring "YES" outcomes on high-impact, low-probability events, with a significant portion of their book dedicated to a few key positions.
AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.
Threadbare-Signal just placed $33 on YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Threadbare-Signal just placed $41 on YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's bets is risky.
Threadbare-Signal just placed $1 on YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Threadbare-Signal just placed $10 on YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?Threadbare-Signal just placed $65 on YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Threadbare-Signal just placed $25 on YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?Threadbare-Signal just placed $1.6K on YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?Threadbare-Signal just placed $149 on YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Threadbare-Signal just placed $62 on YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Threadbare-Signal just placed $53 on YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Threadbare-Signal just placed $80 on YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Threadbare-Signal just placed $757 on YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Threadbare-Signal just placed $26 on YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Threadbare-Signal just placed $145 on YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Threadbare-Signal just placed $210 on NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Threadbare-Signal just placed $117 on YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Threadbare-Signal just placed $50 on YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Threadbare-Signal just placed $1 on YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Threadbare-Signal just placed $4 on YES
Will Esteban Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Threadbare-Signal just placed $159 on YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Threadbare-Signal just placed $6 on YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Threadbare-Signal just placed $14 on NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Threadbare-Signal just placed $712 on YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Threadbare-Signal just placed $180 on YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Threadbare-Signal just placed $6 on YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Threadbare-Signal just placed $1.0K on YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Threadbare-Signal just placed $1 on YES
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Threadbare-Signal just placed $226 on YES
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Threadbare-Signal just placed $603 on YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Threadbare-Signal just placed $14 on YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Threadbare-Signal just placed $26 on YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Threadbare-Signal just placed $39 on YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Threadbare-Signal just placed $1 on YES
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Threadbare-Signal just placed $222 on YES
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Threadbare-Signal just placed $420 on YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Threadbare-Signal just placed $5 on YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?